Monday horse racing tips: four meetings, 30 races
There are 30 UK races on Monday 2 November across four meetings: Plumpton (7 races), Southwell (6), Wolverhampton (9) and Chelmsford (8). It is a card of jumps at Plumpton and Southwell, with the all-weather tracks taking over for the evening.
The feature race is the 5:00 at Wolverhampton, the All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes. It is a Class 4 over 7f36y on Standard going, worth £4,972 to the winner, with 9 runners. You can read the predictor’s full view of it here. None of our value selections run in it, so the best bets below come from elsewhere on the day.
- The price is generous: 7/2 with bet365 implies 21% once the bookmakers’ margin is removed; we make it 24%. If we are right, that is an expected return of +6% on your stake over time.
- Finished second last time out (recent form 00432).
- Top-rated in the field on official rating (80; field average 75).
Odds for the races in this article
| Horse | Best price | Our chance | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemmari We’d avoidSean Levey · Richard Hannon | 2/1bet365 | 29%market 32% | AVOID |
| Charging Thunder Our pickChristian Howarth(3) · James Owen | 7/2bet365 | 24%market 21% | VALUE |
| Mother DearDavid Probert · Hughie Morrison | 4/110bet | 19%market 19% | FAIR |
| Lady RidgewoodConor Whiteley(5) · Ian Williams | 9/2Unibet | 18%market 17% | FAIR |
| Brosna TownNeil Callan · Jessica Bedi | 12/1SBK | 6.7%market 7.3% | FAIR |
| Big Bear HugPaddy Bradley · Jim Boyle | 25/110bet | 3.1%market 3.7% | FAIR |
| Horse | Best price | Our chance | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Pete Our pickDaniel Muscutt · Michael Appleby | 7/410bet | 33%market 29% | FAIR |
| Beechwood GloryDavid Egan · John Butler | 9/4bet365 | 24%market 25% | FAIR |
| Californian AngelDavid Probert · Hugo Palmer | 13/2Paddy Power | 11%market 11% | FAIR |
| Desert LegendSean Levey · Richard Hannon | 7/1Betfred | 9.2%market 10% | FAIR |
| Invincible IsaacWarren Fentiman(3) · Lemos De Souza | 10/1bet365 | 6.7%market 7.3% | FAIR |
| Last DandelionHarry Vigors(5) · Stuart Williams | 14/1SBK | 4.7%market 5.4% | FAIR |
Results so far
- 1st Could Be You (IRE) SP 3/1
- 2nd Hard Stare (GB) SP 9/4 Our pick
- 3rd Tom Taggle (IRE) SP 13/8 Our pick
Best prices across UK bookmakers, refreshed through the day; chances from our AI horse racing predictor. Prices move, so check before you bet. 18+ | GambleAware.org
The best bets today: where the predictor sees value
A good bet, in the predictor’s terms, is a horse whose chance of winning is higher than the price suggests. That is the predictor’s view, not a certainty, and every one of these can lose.
Billy Boi Blue (1:15 Southwell, 6/1) offers the biggest expected return of the day, +8.8%. The market gives him 13%; we make it 16%. He won last time out, one of 2 wins in his last 5 runs, and is rated 12 above the field average (111). His yard, David Killahena & Graeme McPherson, has 2 winners from 8 runners (25%) in the last 14 days.
Law of Supply (1:15 Southwell, 7/2) is in the same Southwell handicap chase. He is top-rated on 112 against a field average of 99 and was second last time. We make him 23% against the market’s 21%. Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls have 3 winners from 13 (23%) lately.
Tom Taggle (1:00 Plumpton, 9/4) is top-rated on 85 (field average 78) and was third last time. We rate him 32% against 30% in the market. The concern is the stable: Mrs C. Williams has 2 winners from 27 runners (7%) in the last 14 days.
Hard Stare (1:00 Plumpton, 9/4) shares the same rating and the same 32% to 30% edge, and was also third last time. He returns from a 166-day break, which is the predictor’s reason for caution.
Blue Pete (6:15 Chelmsford, 11/4) has been placed in 3 of his last 4 runs and was second last time. At 75 he is top-rated (field average 69). We make him 28% against 24%. Michael Appleby has 5 winners from 22 (23%) in the last 14 days.
Charging Thunder (5:15 Chelmsford, 7/2) is top-rated on 80 (field average 75), was second last time and ran 7 days ago. James Owen has 13 winners from 56 (23%) in the last 14 days. The edge is the slimmest here, 23% against 21%, for an expected return of +3.4%.
Horses to avoid: short prices that outrun the form
The predictor also flags runners whose price is shorter than their chance justifies.
Gemmari (5:15 Chelmsford, 7/4) was second last time and is race-fit, but 7/4 implies 34% and the form supports 31%. Backed at that price, the predictor reckons you lose 13.7p per £1 over time. He shares a race with Charging Thunder above.
Lancier des Obeaux (1:00 Plumpton, 10/3) is the weaker case. He has finished out of the first three in each of his last 5 runs, is rated 10 below the field average (68) and has not run for 195 days. The price implies 22% against our 19%, a loss of 18.3p per £1 over time.
Strongest picks: likely winners, but not always value
These are the horses the predictor rates furthest clear of their rivals. Note the distinction: all five are labelled FAIR, so the price already reflects their chance and the expected return is negative. They are the likeliest winners, not the best bets.
- Wosta (6:30 Wolverhampton, 2/5): 68% against the market’s 65%.
- Wedyan (6:45 Chelmsford, 5/6): 53% against 49%, top-rated on 75 and a winner last time out.
- The Anthony Gover (4:30 Wolverhampton, 11/8): 39% against 36%, with 2 wins from his last 5 runs.
- Jubilant (3:00 Plumpton, 6/4): 37%, level with the market, and rated 5 below the field average.
- Intervention (7:45 Chelmsford, 9/4): 29% against 27%, a winner last time out.
How the predictor works
The Bets & Horses AI racing predictor starts with the best available price, with the bookmakers’ margin removed. It then adjusts for recent form, rating against the field, trainer strike rate, course and distance wins, first-time headgear and days since the last run. The result is half market, half form.
A good bet is one where our chance beats the price. An avoid is one where the price is shorter than our chance. It is a guide to value, not a forecast of winners, and betting always carries risk. Check the racecards before you decide.
Monday racing tips: FAQs
What are the best bets today, Monday 2 November 2026?
The predictor's best value is Billy Boi Blue (1:15 Southwell, 6/1), with an expected return of +8.8%. Law of Supply, Tom Taggle, Hard Stare, Blue Pete and Charging Thunder are also rated as value. None is certain to win.
What is the feature race on Monday?
The 5:00 at Wolverhampton, the All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes. It is a Class 4 over 7f36y on Standard going, with 9 runners and £4,972 to the winner.
Which horses are best avoided today?
The predictor advises avoiding Gemmari (5:15 Chelmsford, 7/4) and Lancier des Obeaux (1:00 Plumpton, 10/3). In both cases the price is shorter than the predictor's estimate of their chance.
How many UK races are there on Monday 2 November?
There are 30 races across four meetings: Plumpton (7 races), Southwell (6), Wolverhampton (9) and Chelmsford (8).
Bet responsibly. 18+ only. Our picks are analysis, not guarantees, and prices move. Set a deposit limit before you bet and never chase losses. Free, confidential help: National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133, GambleAware.org, self-exclusion with GAMSTOP.
